AI · SEMICONDUCTOR · FACT CHECK

SKD WIRE

EN WIRE · 2026-09-29 22:13

AI could force up to 11 million US workers to change jobs within a decade

Mostly True

Roughly 11 million US workers could see their jobs change or disappear over the next ten years as AI reshapes the labor market, according to a claim reviewed against a set of primary sources on AI's employment impact.

원문 주장 (KR)
AI에 밀려서 미국노동자 10년내 1천100만명 직업 바뀔수도

What the research shows

The claim, based on a PwC analysis (with imagery sourced via Getty Images), states that AI displacement may push about 11 million American workers into new occupations or roles within the next decade. The analysis draws on multiple primary sources examining how AI adoption, including large language models (LLM), could alter demand for labor across white-collar and other sectors.

The figure is framed as a possibility rather than a certainty. Projections of AI-driven job change rest on assumptions about the pace of AI adoption, employer behavior, and whether displaced workers find new roles — factors that remain uncertain.

How to read the number

Projections of this kind count workers whose tasks are significantly altered as well as those whose jobs are eliminated outright, meaning the total represents change in employment rather than pure job loss. The underlying research reviewed for the claim comprised 12 primary sources, and the claim's core figure — 11 million workers over 10 years — aligns with what the sources describe as a plausible, not guaranteed, outcome.

The range of possible outcomes remains wide: AI could also create new jobs and raise productivity, partially offsetting displacement, and the actual pace will depend on policy responses and retraining efforts.

As stated, the claim that AI could lead about 11 million US workers to change occupations within a decade is consistent with the primary-source research and is framed with appropriate caution — in the conclusion, the assessment is Mostly True.

Verdict: Mostly True

Sources — primary documents (12)
  1. https://www.mckinsey.com/mgi/our-research
  2. https://www.mckinsey.com/mgi/our-research/Workforce-in-motion-Skills-and-pathways-to-future-jobs-in-the-United-States
  3. http://www.mckinsey.com/mgi/our-research/Workforce-in-motion-Skills-and-pathways-to-f
  4. https://www.yna.co.kr/view/AKR20260929137700009
  5. https://v.daum.net/v/20260929163000544
  6. https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/working-life/ai-may-force-11-million-workers-us-new-jobs-mckinsey-says
  7. https://www.axios.com/2026/09/29/ai-jobs-roles-mckinsey
  8. https://www.mckinsey.com/mgi/overview
  9. https://www.mckinsey.com/mgi/our-research/generative-ai-and-the-future-of-work-in-america
  10. https://www.nongmin.com/article/20260907500446
  11. https://www.pwc.com/kr/ko/insights/global-trends/ai-jobs-barometer2026.html
  12. https://www.pwc.com/kr/ko/insights/global-trends/pwckorea_global-ai-jobs-barometer2026.pdf

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